Saturday, September 8, 2007
Manual Gann Grid Technique
The initial move from the start of the grid went up to 135° of price and went out to just over 180° of time. Do the following:
1) Count out 135 bars and mark it.
2) Count out 180 bars from the high and mark it. The move went over 180° of time by a few bars, but 180 is close enough. The 180 puts time out near 360°.
The initial move defined a later move from beginning to end. It doesn's always work out that way but it's worth marking. The other thing worth noting is the price range the Euro is in. 1.3436 is the 135° from our start price. Move the decimal over on the price a couple of spots on price and you're 2/10 away from 135. So doing bar counts in that 135 area from any high or low will probably show some reaction.
Coming up to current events, I had created a new grid and the same techniques will be applied. Again, a EURUSD 30 min. chart is used.
Beginning a grid from a pivot low at 9/04/07 14:30, price had risen up to 90° of price in just over 45° of time. 56° of time to be precise. So using those numbers of 90° and 56°, price peaked 90° of time later after the Nonfarm Payrolls report from the measured peak. From the vertical lines of 45° and 90°, measure over 56° in time and price peaked at those marks.
Natural Cycle Update
The safe method of trading a cycle event is to find confluence with other indications. Also, wait until the top or bottom has proved itself to be a top or bottom, ie wait for a pullback or wait a couple of days to see if a change in direction is in place.
I have a few other indications that this recent peak is a top and I have some sell stops waiting to trigger. But as always I start small so in case I'm wrong the loss is small.
Thursday, September 6, 2007
The Ellipse Part 2
Monday, September 3, 2007
Cycles of 45 and 144
The Square of Nine image is the actual chart I used to get the idea of plotting the 144th count. The number that will eventually pop up is 216 which is 144 away from 360. 360 can be broken up evenly in many ways. The more common are squares and trines which are fourths and thirds respectively. But there are a host of other numbers that come out of 360 evenly and it's not against the law to use numbers that don't. Although numbers that fit into multiples of 360 do hold. 360 x 2 = 720. 144 goes into 720 five times. 5 is a very signifcant number as well. Square root of 144 is 12 which is Universal. 144 is also a Fibonacci number. The digits add up such that 1+4+4 = 9. 9 is highly significant and so on and so on.
Nested Geometry
Nesting geometric shapes can provide turning points and vectors that define a path for price. A vector differs from a trend line in that a trend line usually defines consecutive highs or lows of price whereas a vector defines 2 points; a high to a low, a low to low, or a high to high.
The chart below starts with selecting a range which is highlighted by the red line. That red line defines one side of an equilateral triangle. Two lines are created from the angle of that line. One of them is 60° difference to define the second side of the equilateral triangle. The other is 30° difference to define the apex of the second nested equilateral triangle. Each circle is defined by the perimeter of the triangles or the interior of the triangles.
Some key things to note is how price ran straight up the 30° angle vector and terminated at the apex of the 2nd triangle. Also notice how price also ran down the outside of the outer circle reversing at the apex of the primary triangle.
It's also easy to get carried away. Last year I made something that ended up looking like a crop circle. Of course my buddies had to poke some fun and the 2nd chart below is Akuma99's interpretation. The third chart shows price taking off like a rocket at the end up the pattern.
Sunday, September 2, 2007
Natural Cycles
In the style of Gann this post is going to be some what cryptic. Some of the best cycles to use are Natural Cycles. Mainly because they are easy to project into the future as well as the past when they are found.
Nature squares the circle. The image on the left describes 1/2 the amount of the cycle. It also describes the nature of the cycle and the nature of one of the cycle's key components in at least two ways.
The chart below shows the GBPUSD daily chart going all the back to late 1980. The red verticle lines mark off 32° of this particular cycle. Each olive colored line is 1°. The key degrees are 32° and halving down to 1°.
Price doesn't always conform perfectly to Natural Cycle but it's usually within 1-2 degrees. Below is an up to date 4 hour chart showing how relevant the cycle remains.